A MODEL FOR ESTIMATING THE PROBABILITIES OF SOCCER GAME RESULTS

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Published: Jan 2, 2013
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5750/jgbe.v4i3.559
Keywords:
Soccer Game gambling

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Nissim Ben-David
Max Stern Academic College of Emek Yezreel

Abstract

In this paper, using Israeli soccer tournament results from 2009/2010 and an ordered dependent estimation model I calculated for each team, in each game played during the season, the a priori probability of a win, loss or a tie as a function of lag performance.  Given these probabilities, the average probability that each team would end a game with a win, loss or a tie can be calculated. 

Article Details

Issue
Vol. 4 No. 3 (2010)
Section
Articles

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